Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.617330 2.043348 2.624986 3.516478 4.931126 7.268978 11.940923
2025-07-27 1.096417 1.526771 2.217271 3.533984 6.405897 14.167727 54.253887
2025-08-03 0.827410 1.214257 1.894344 3.381890 7.479114 25.241898 715.312995
2025-08-10 0.693668 1.061280 1.757859 3.477827 9.470084 59.189107 NaN
2025-08-17 0.611570 0.969226 1.692620 3.692096 12.639987 239.393335 NaN
2025-08-24 0.537787 0.872170 1.578678 3.693646 15.264429 2162.071761 NaN
2025-08-31 0.472508 0.777212 1.438749 3.523860 16.684473 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.437834 0.735906 1.410904 3.722704 22.598549 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.401975 0.685431 1.345890 3.744149 27.814307 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.366969 0.631249 1.257923 3.619202 30.983321 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.339463 0.589310 1.192802 3.559058 36.022162 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.329945 0.585005 1.228244 4.006121 66.177578 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.315053 0.567106 1.223028 4.272558 115.341090 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.295702 0.536555 1.173959 4.260919 161.599392 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.274930 0.500377 1.100834 4.055063 178.551084 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.262485 0.482395 1.080331 4.179013 332.805877 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.253628 0.471846 1.080928 4.460074 1183.193088 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.241422 0.451808 1.046619 4.462056 3392.012793 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.227344 0.425903 0.988537 4.238926 4166.921979 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.220787 0.417896 0.989109 4.500365 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.211909 0.403228 0.964180 4.528674 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.201648 0.384239 0.921256 4.364042 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.193116 0.368993 0.889421 4.285062 NaN NaN NaN